Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua’s recent shift in approach has sparked debate among political analysts, with divergent views on his motives and potential for a political comeback.
Since his impeachment, Gachagua has opted for a reconciliatory tone, attending funerals and church services while avoiding direct confrontations with President William Ruto or the Kenya Kwanza administration.
Political analyst Edwin Mwangi views Gachagua’s restraint as a tactical move to rebuild his political base without drawing the ire of the government.
“By avoiding attacks on President Ruto, Gachagua is shielding himself from state retaliation while creating room to rebrand. His focus on Mount Kenya’s unity is a smart way to consolidate his support base,” Mwangi said.
At a funeral in Gichugu, Kirinyaga County a month ago, Gachagua emphasized patience, urging the community to give Ruto time to fulfill his promises.
Similarly, in a recent church service, Gachagua reassured supporters of his leadership, promising to guide the Mount Kenya region starting January next year.
“I urge our people to remain calm. Come January, I will lead this community and provide the direction we need,” he said.
This comes after he (Gachagua) was on Sunday denied a chance to address the supporters at Ihura Stadium which he attended accompanied by section of elected leaders in mount Kenya.
However, not all analysts see Gachagua’s strategy as purely pragmatic.
Political commentator James Ndungu suggests that Gachagua’s silence could also reflect diminished political leverage.
“His impeachment and reduced security detail indicate his vulnerability. By staying silent, he may be buying time to avoid further alienation or legal troubles,” Dr. Ndungu argued.
Others interpret his focus on funerals and church services as a sign of humility and an effort to connect with the grassroots.
“This approach resonates with Mount Kenya voters, who value leaders who empathize with their struggles. It’s less about retreat and more about realigning with the electorate,” said Lydia Mwangi, a political sociologist.
In the courts, Gachagua has shifted his focus from blocking his successor’s appointment to challenging the legality of the bench that handled his impeachment case.
His lawyer, Paul Muite, argued that the judges’ empanelment was unconstitutional, a move analysts interpret as part of Gachagua’s broader effort to secure his political survival.
Gachagua has also drawn comparisons between his political journey and Donald Trump’s return to power in the United States.
In a congratulatory message to Trump, he lauded resilience and perseverance, sentiments that many see as reflective of his own aspirations.
At the same time, Gachagua has invoked cultural values to rally support, urging the Mount Kenya community to express frustrations through song and dance rather than protests.
Analysts see this as a bid to contrast the region’s peaceful nature with other political strategies and preserve his base’s cohesion.
